In London, Chelsea now boast a solid ratio: 1.83 goals scored per game and quite a few conceded, 1.17

In the 30th round of the English Premier League on March 14, 2026, Chelsea and Newcastle United will face off. The hosts need only a win in their battle for fourth place, but they have a tough opponent.

The Stamford Bridge giants finished last season by climbing to fourth place in the Premier League and winning the Conference League, and in the summer, they added a Club World Cup title after a dominant win over PSG in the final. However, six months later, conflicts between Maresca and the management led to his departure. For his successor, Rosenoir, the only serious setback so far remains the losses in both legs of the League Cup semi-final against Arsenal.

In the Champions League, they did lose 2-5 to PSG this week. Earlier in the cup against Wrexham, they almost suffered an embarrassment but managed to come back in regulation time and advanced thanks to goals in extra time. In the Premier League, it’s no longer possible to catch the top three, making the competition for the remaining Champions League places even fiercer. That’s why, after losing to the leader, Arsenal, a win over Aston Villa was so important.

The Newcastle squad has struggled to maintain a consistently high level for two seasons in a row. In 2024/2025, they won the League Cup and climbed to fifth place. This allowed them to return to the Champions League, where the English side made it to the playoffs this time. After beating Qarabag, they faced a formidable Barcelona, ending with a 1-1 draw at home this week. In the League Cup, the trophy holders were eliminated in the semi-finals, losing to Manchester City. Meeting them again in the FA Cup, they lost 1-3. The Premier League has seen a noticeable dip, but it’s too early to write them off—after all, they managed to beat Manchester United.

In London, Chelsea now boast a solid ratio: 1.83 goals scored per game and quite a few conceded, 1.17. Howe’s side are almost even: 1.45 goals scored and 1.48 conceded on average.

Previous Matches: Chelsea vs Newcastle United

The last three encounters were all played in Newcastle. After two home wins, in December the sides finished with an entertaining 2-2 draw at St. James’ Park.

The hosts are seen as favorites. However, their defensive issues suggest a safer bet is on a neutral “over 3.0 goals total” (odds – 1.78).

Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Key Stats and Trends
Chelsea have won three of their last eight matches
69% of Chelsea’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 3.0
Newcastle United have won five of their last seven Premier League matches
66% of Newcastle’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.93
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Probable Starting Lineups
Chelsea use a 1-4-5-1 scheme (probable lineup): Sanchez – Gusto, Chalobah, Fofana, James – Santos, Caicedo, Fernandez, Palmer, Neto – Joao Pedro. Estêvão and Colwill are unavailable.

Newcastle United play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (probable lineup): Pope – Hall, Burn, Thiaw, Trippier – Willock, Tonali, Ramsey – Gordon, Woltemade, Elanga. Schär and Bruno are out of the squad.