Milan have won their second match in their last three

The San Siro giants spent much of last season in second place but eventually slipped to fifth. As a result, they are playing only in the Europa League this season, where they opened with a home defeat to Benfica. They bounced back against Red Bull, winning while down to ten men. In Serie A, meanwhile, they have mostly collected victories, along with a couple of draws. Their meeting with Sassuolo ended 1-1.

Atalanta parted ways with Gasperini in the summer of 2025. Without their highly successful coach, the club could manage only seventh place. Having entered the Conference League, the Italians edged past Hapoel Tel Aviv in the qualifying rounds this summer thanks to the only goal scored across the two legs, and on Thursday they defeated Pafos 3-1. They began their Serie A campaign with two wins but then went on a losing streak. In October, they finally returned to winning ways against Venezia, triumphing 3-1.

Ruben Amorim’s side have respectable numbers: 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per match. Their neighbours from the suburbs of the metropolis score 1.33 goals per game and concede exactly the same amount.

Previous meetings: Milan vs Atalanta

The visitors have won five of the last seven meetings, with two draws — Milan have been without a victory since the start of 2023.

The home side have more arguments in their favour. We believe they will win (odds – 1.85).

Milan vs Atalanta: key statistics and trends
Milan have won their second match in their last three
Both teams have scored in 67% of Milan’s matches, with an average total of 2.67 goals per game
Atalanta have lost three of their last five matches
Both teams have scored in 67% of Atalanta’s matches, with an average total of 2.67 goals per game
Milan vs Atalanta: possible starting line-ups
Milan play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (possible line-up): Maignan – Pavlovic, de Winter, Hila – Estupiñán, Rabiot, Modrić, Chukwueze – Saelemaekers, Pulisic – Gonçalo Ramos

Atalanta play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible line-up): Carnesecchi – Bernasconi, Scalvini, Christensen, Bellanova – Éderson, Kessié, Samardžić – Raspadori, Krstović, De Ketelaere

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