When Borussia Dortmund leads 1-0 at home, they win in 77% of their matches

Borussia Dortmund continue their Champions League adventure on Tuesday evening when they host Lille in the first leg of their last 16 tie.

Last season’s finalists finished just outside the top eight during the inaugural Champions League league phase, resulting in a two-legged play-off with Sporting CP rather than automatic progress to the round of 16. Fortunately for BVB, a change of manager helped see them past the Lisbon side in comfortable fashion.

Niko Kovac’s arrival has forced an upturn in form for Dortmund after they struggled under Nuri Sahin, with the former Bayern Munich and Monaco manager having overseen three victories and four clean sheets in his last five matches.

Lille lost their coach over the summer as Paulo Fonseca left for Milan, but replacement Bruno Genesio has impressed since taking over. Les Dogues are fifth in Ligue 1 – only five points off second-placed Marseille – and won five of their eight league phase battles as they finished seventh, including impressive victories over Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Felix Nmecha in Dortmund’s only confirmed absentee for Tuesday’s clash after Kovac’s squad appeared to come through the weekend win at St Pauli unscathed. The German midfielder is sidelined with a knee issue at present.

Julian Ryerson missed out the 2-0 win on Saturday with illness but could make a return at right-back against Lille. Manchester City loanee Yan Couto operated in his place against St Pauli.

Julian Brandt made his return from injury during a brief cameo at the weekend but is unlikely to be rushed back into the starting lineup for the Lille clash.

Dortmund predicted lineup vs Lille (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Sabitzer, Gross; Adeyemi, Reyna, Gittens; Guirassy.

Lille will almost certainly be missing key contributor Edon Zhegrova again on Tuesday night, with the Kosovo international having been absent since December. He’s closing in on a return but admitted his desire to leave the club recently.

Lille predicted lineup vs Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Chevalier; Meunier, Diakite, Ribeiro, Gudmundsson; Andre, Bouaddi; Mukau, Gomes, Haraldsson; David.