The club from Naples, after a disappointing previous season, invited Conte in the summer of 2024—and he immediately won the “scudetto.” In the winter, they added the Super Cup, but overall, the players have been inconsistent. In the Champions League, they were eliminated after losing to Chelsea in the final round, failing to reach the playoffs. Meanwhile, there have been plenty of setbacks in Serie A, just as with their rivals. After finally defeating Sassuolo, they suffered a heavy 0-3 loss to Juventus.
In Florence, they managed to win a tough race for sixth place in the spring. But that only earned them a familiar spot in the Conference League. There, they easily advanced to the playoffs, but in Serie A, they couldn’t secure a win under Pioli, who was appointed in the summer, nor with Vanoli. Only at the end of December did things start to improve. Yet after a win against Bologna, they unexpectedly lost to Cagliari. This week in the cup, they also suffered a home defeat to Como, losing 1-3.
The title holder plays pragmatically, averaging 1.41 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per match. The unexpected outsider scores only 1.09 and concedes 1.55 on average.
Napoli vs Fiorentina: Key statistics and trends
Napoli have won only one of their last five league matches
41% of Napoli’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 2.32 goals per match.
Fiorentina have lost both of their last two matches
68% of Fiorentina’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 2.64 goals per match
Napoli vs Fiorentina: Probable starting lineups
Napoli (probable lineup): Milinkovic-Savic – Buongiorno, Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo – Olivera, Lang, Politano, McTominay, Lobotka, Mazzocchi – Højlund
Fiorentina (probable lineup): De Gea – Gosens, Pongracic, Komuzzo, Dodo – N’Dour, Fagioli, Mandragora – Gudmundsson, Parisi, Kean
Previous matches: Napoli vs Fiorentina
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Napoli have allowed this opponent to earn only one draw.
Free prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina
The hosts are fairly considered favorites here, but they are somewhat overrated. We predict that the revived visitors will win with a +1 goal handicap (odds – 1.63).
